Bayes’ Rule

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bayes_rul

bayes_rul

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Some information was taken from http://www.cs.bham.ac.uk/~axk/ML_new.htm

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| January 13th, 2010 | Posted in Matlab, Software, Statistics |

3 Responses to “Bayes’ Rule”

  1. Sergey Kulanov Says:

    Posterior=(likelihood*Prior)/evidence

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  2. Sergey Kulanov Says:

    Excellent explanation http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

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  3. Sergey Kulanov Says:

    P(Cause|Effect)=P(Effect|Cause)*P(Cause)/P(Effect)
    That is what we have in the influenza case:
    What is the probability to catch influenza, if for example, we have a cough:

    P(flu|cough)=P(cough|flu)*P(flu)/P(cough)

    If we have some epidemic situation so P(flu) dramatically increase and P(flu|cough) also increases.

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